US must gird for harsh response from Mideast

By

Opinion

January 6, 2020 - 9:48 AM

An Iraqi woman holds a placard during the funeral of Iranian military commander Qasem Soleimani, Iraqi paramilitary chief Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis and eight others in Baghdad on Saturday. (Ahmad Al-Rubya/AFP via Getty Images/TNS)

Up until now, Americans have been forced to take President Donald Trump at his word that Iran was planning imminent attacks against U.S. installations, thus warranting the president’s directive on Friday to assassinate Maj. Gen. Qassim Suleimani, Iran’s top military leader.

That’s not good enough. The global community deserves proof that the president’s actions did indeed prevent an escalation of violence.

We need that assurance, desperately, because we’ve been down this road before with the lie of “weapons of mass destruction” that took us to war in Iraq in 2003.

Not surprisingly, the response from Iran and Iraq to Friday’s attack has been a promise of retribution.

And, unfortunately, our president seems to be delighting in a game of chicken.

According to foreign affairs experts, the United States had tracked the Iranian commander for more than 20 years, fully aware he had American blood on his hands. But because of his status as a military hero across the Middle East, the U.S. did not think eliminating Suleimani at this time was worth the risk of political — or military — backlash.

On Sunday, that retribution began with Iraq’s parliament voting to oust U.S. troops and Iran pledging to ramp up its development of nuclear fuel.

On Saturday, the U.S. sent an additional 3,500 troops to Kuwait to prepare for conflict.

The U.S. has urged all U.S. citizens to evacuate not only Iraq but also Pakistan, Bahrain and the United Arab Emirates, due to “heightened tensions.”

Mr. Trump said the airstrike at Baghdad’s airport that killed Suleimani as well as a number of senior Iraqi militia leaders was not meant to provoke war, but to prevent one, and warned Iran not to retaliate.

That’s wishful thinking. Iran regards Suleimani’s murder as a terrorist act and a threat to its regime, and as such has no choice but to aggressively respond.

 

OF SPECIAL concern is Iraq’s response. Ever since 2014 — at Iraq’s request — the U.S. has stationed 5,000 troops there to help prevent a resurgence of ISIS and to train Iraqi security forces. At the same time, Suleimani’s supporters have gained a foothold in Iraq’s Parliament.

On Sunday, this faction persuaded Parliament to expel American troops, which its prime minister is sure to sign.

The decision opens the door not only for a greater Iranian presence there, but also affects our efforts to combat ISIS militants in Syria, which depend on our troops stationed in Iraq.

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