NEAR KYIV, Ukraine — In a snow-covered forest one hour outside Kyiv, I am watching 250 Ukrainian civilians train to defend their capital if the Russians invade.
It’s hard to comprehend that in 2022 — not 1942 — the Kremlin has 120,000 troops poised to attack a neighboring democracy if the Ukrainian government won’t agree to accept permanent domination by Moscow.
Amazingly, no officials here or in Washington are yet certain whether Vladimir Putin is pulling an elaborate blackmail scheme to press the West into foregoing future ties with Ukraine, is preparing for a ground war, or is planning something in between.
U.S. intelligence sources believe Russia has nearly completed preparations for a possible large-scale invasion that could depose the Ukrainian government within two days. But the government here downplays any talk of invasion, with President Volodomyr Zelenskyy’s Twitter account stressing only “diplomatic efforts to restore peace.”
Yet, if one thing dissuades Putin from sending ground forces to Kyiv, it may be the prospect of the casualties Russian troops will take from impassioned local resistance forces like the men (and a handful of women) practicing here.
Students, accountants, IT specialists, teachers, travel agents, retirees, military veterans: These urban volunteers are part of a national Territorial Defense force from around Ukraine that is being raised in big cities to protect local neighborhoods in case Vladimir Putin actually orders Russian troops into Kyiv and other major cities.
The volunteers know the Ukrainian army, although strong, can’t withstand Russian airplanes and missiles for long, and that NATO won’t come to their rescue. So urban resistance will be essential.
The civilian trainees here have recently received uniforms. Most are practicing with cardboard guns or plastic paint ball guns or hunting rifles from home, until they are provided military weapons. They are clearly amateurs being coached by a handful of professional military to advance, swivel, crawl and rescue the fallen.
Their practice ground is an abandoned, Soviet-era Young Pioneers children’s camp, whose sagging buildings are being used to practice house-to-house urban combat.
As professional soldiers tutor novices in how to inch forward on their bellies over snow-packed ground, I have the feeling I’m watching a grim reality show. A fully geared soldier in helmet and body armor patiently instructs a woman in a track suit holding an ancient rifle held together with string. A barbecue pit smokes in the background, preparing lunch for the volunteers.
But the participants are deadly serious.
“We will fight any invaders like the resistance that fought the Russians in Afghanistan,” insists Vasyl Nikolayevich, a 53-year-old full-time Platoon Commander in the Territorial Defense forces, as he rounds up a group of volunteers to practice a rifle attack, twisting to the right and the left, to cover both flanks.
Nikolayevich knows what he is talking about. Back in the 1980s when Ukraine was part of the Soviet Union, he fought with the Soviet Army against the irregular Afghan resistance forces that finally drove the Soviets out of their land.
With his eight-year occupation of Crimea and parts of eastern Ukraine, Putin has only solidified Ukraine’s sense of national identity. These volunteers are well aware that Russian troops and their local proxies have killed 15,000 Ukrainians since 2014.
“For eight years we have had to suffer war on the territory of our country,” 55-year-old digital marketer (and diving instructor) Olyksiy Vasilchenko tells me about his reasons for joining up, as he finishes a round of shooting practice. “Now, my country is in trouble and I want to find a way to help.” He’s had a longtime license for a hunting rifle at home, and intends to buy a semi-automatic.